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Monthly Promoted Pricing Index Report

Amid economic pressures, Numerator Promo Intel is closely tracking rising fresh produce prices with its new monthly Promoted Pricing Index.

Written by Shahid
Updated over a month ago

January promotional pricing reflected strong post-holiday adjustments across departments. In produce, citrus and tropical fruit rose sharply—limes (+73%), grapefruit (+34%), lemons (+31%), and pineapple (+17%) increased month-over-month, while strawberries (–18%), nectarines (–37%), peaches (–26%), and cherries (–16%) declined seasonally. Vegetables saw notable gains in broccoli (+23%), celery (+27%), corn (+67%), radishes (+57%), and peppers (+11%), while cucumbers (–8%) and lettuce (–6%) softened.

In meat and dairy, ground beef remained elevated year-over-year (+28%), though lean beef dipped slightly MoM. Pork items eased modestly, while salmon (–17% MoM) and scallops (–15%) declined after holiday peaks. Raw shrimp (+17%) rose, and bacon increased +4%. Eggs fell sharply (–18% MoM, –28% YoY), while cheese shreds (+9%) and yogurt-traditional (+42% MoM, +47% YoY) climbed significantly.

Center store categories showed broad reset pricing. Grain bars (+27%), peanut butter (+43%), toothpaste (+52%), and disposable razors (+16%) rose notably. Salad dressing (+11%) and carbonated soft drinks (12-pk +5%) increased, while cereal (–20%), soup (–13%), ketchup (–25%), frozen vegetables (–25%), and internal analgesics (–29%) declined. Oral care saw sharp movement with toothbrushes (+19%) and mouthwash (+35%).

Retailer basket values again showed wide dispersion. Food King Cost Plus, Lidl, and Migalitos Supermercado offered the lowest promoted pricing. At the high end, D’Agostino Supermarkets, Gristedes, and Food City (K-VA-T) indexed the highest, reflecting more than a 3x difference between lowest and highest promotional basket values


December promotional pricing reflected strong holiday-driven volatility across departments. In produce, apples (+10%), clementines (+13%), kiwi (+21%), and limes (+41%) increased month-over-month, while bananas (–15%), lemons (–32%), and strawberries (–5%) declined. Notably, nectarines (+20%) and peaches (+10%) rose sharply, while plums remained subdued. In vegetables, celery (+31%) and asparagus (+11%) led gains, pumpkins rebounded significantly from November’s extreme low, and mushrooms (+9%) increased, while peppers (–16%), carrots (–9%), and eggplant (–10%) declined.

In meat and dairy, seafood saw strong holiday lifts: salmon (+22% MoM, +31% YoY), sea scallops (+11%), and raw shrimp (+17%). Pork chops (+20%) and pork roast (+18%) climbed, while ground beef was mixed (lean beef –8% MoM, still +25% YoY). Eggs (–2%) and milk (–5%) softened slightly month-over-month. Ribeye and sirloin remained elevated year-over-year (+30% and +21%, respectively).

Center store trends were highly active. Corn chips (+17%) and potato chips (+6%) rose, while grain bars (–15%) and fruit snacks (–9%) declined. Ketchup surged +34%, and mustard (+12%) and salsa dips (+2%) also increased. Frozen vegetables (+17%) and frozen pizza (–11%) diverged. OTC and seasonal categories showed sharp movement: toothpaste (+80%), disposable razors (+28%), shave cream (+52%), sleep aids (+21%), and internal analgesics (+9%). In household goods, paper towels (+8%) and toilet tissue (+7%) increased, while laundry detergent (–6%) declined.

Retailer promotional baskets continued to show wide dispersion. H.E.B. Plus!, Food King Cost Plus, and Migalitos Supermercado offered the lowest promoted pricing. At the high end, D’Agostino Supermarkets, Gristedes, and Carrs (NAI) indexed the highest, reflecting more than a 3x difference between lowest and highest promotional basket values


Promotional pricing in November showed mixed movement across categories. In produce, bananas (+18% MoM), grapes (+24%), and lemons (+35%) saw notable increases, while blueberries (–18%), limes (–33%), and plums (–40%) dropped. Cherries rose +40% month-over-month, while strawberries surged +35%. Radishes (+10%) and carrots (+30%) led in vegetables, offsetting declines in broccoli (–12%), corn (–8%), and pumpkins (–90%).

In meat and dairy, 90–99% lean ground beef jumped +6% MoM and +37% YoY, while ribeye (+20% YoY) and eggs (+9%) also increased. Pork categories saw mixed trends, and seafood prices softened slightly (salmon –2%, scallops –5%). Packaged hot dogs dropped –9% MoM.

Center store pricing was active. Fruit snacks (+24%) and cookies (+7%) rose, while crackers (–10%) and cold/flu items dropped (cold liquids –22%, antacids –8%). Notably, toothbrushes increased +33% MoM, and internal analgesics climbed +13%. Personal care saw conditioner (–4%) and deodorant (–14%) decline, while frozen pizza (+5%) and ice cream (+3%) trended up.

Retailer basket values ranged widely. Food King Cost Plus, Food 4 Less, and H.E.B. Plus! had the lowest promoted prices. At the high end, D’Agostino Supermarkets, Gristedes, and Hugo’s Family Marketplace indexed the highest—showing a 3x gap in promotional value between top and bottom










How to Build Your Own Promoted Pricing Index in Promotions Intel

Recreate the Promoted Pricing Index in the Dynamic Summary

This guide walks you through setting it up using the Dynamic Summary in Promo Intel.

Step 1: Field Setup in Dynamic Summary.

From the Fields panel, configure your summary view as shown:

Drag and Drop Fields:

  • Rows:

    • Product Description

    • Product Size

  • Columns:

    • Month

  • Values:

    • Average of Net Unit Price

Step 2: Use the Layout Options

Before applying your view, fine-tune the layout settings for a cleaner report-like appearance.

  • Grand TotalsDo not show grand totals

  • SubtotalsDo not show subtotals

  • LayoutClassic form for optimal row readability

Once applied, your view will look similar to the attached image, mirroring the structure of the monthly report. You’ll now have a clear side-by-side view of average Net Unit Prices by product and size, over time.

This allows you to:

  • Identify shifts in promoted pricing strategy

  • Compare pack-size value

  • Benchmark across brands or segments

This setup mirrors the summary pricing index you received in the report and can be filtered to any category, brand, or time period.

Last updated: 2/16/2026

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